IPO公司盈利预测信息披露的影响因素研究——基于结构方程模型

Study on the Factors Affecting Disclosure of Profit Forecasts of IPO Companies —Based on Structural Equation Model

  • 摘要: 披露盈利预测信息的IPO公司比例随着披露方式的转变呈逐年下降趋势,针对这个问题选取了我国2007~2011年在A股首发上市的638家IPO公司,对其盈利预测信息披露的影响因素进行了研究.在自行构建盈利预测信息披露水平评价指标体系的基础上,运用结构方程模型研究得出IPO公司盈利预测信息披露水平在一定程度上受公司财务状况、公司治理结构及外部因素的影响并呈显著正相关关系.

     

    Abstract: With the change of disclosure methods, the proportion of IPO companies disclosing the profits forecast information declines year by year. Empirical study was conducted on the disclosure of profit forecasts of 683 listed companies with initial public offering of A shares in 2007~2011. Based on the evaluation indicator system that build independently, this paper reports that the disclosure of a listed company's profit forecasts, to some extent, will be affected by the company's financial position, corporate governance structure and external factors, presenting obvious positive correlation by using the structural equation model.

     

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