边界Logistic违约约束下商业信用期限决策模型

Trade Credit Term Decision Under Boundary Logistic Default Risk

  • 摘要: 采用边界Logistic模型描述下游企业违约风险,建立了一个考虑下游企业违约风险,并能体现上游生产商风险厌恶程度的委托-代理模型,用来确定激励相容的商业信用期限决策. 通过对下游企业优化条件的处理,最终将信用期限决策的委托代理模型转化成普通的非线性规划. 数值计算结果表明,信用期限决策会随着违约风险的增加而缩短,是违约风险的凹函数;生产商厌恶程度越大,越倾向于给予较短的期限.

     

    Abstract: This paper applies principal-agent model to solve the optimal trade credit term considering default risk explicitly. A boundary Logistic model is used to measure default risk of the buyer. By solving the lower level optimization problem of the buyer, the principal-agent model reduces to a non-linear programming. An incentive-compatible decision of term is thus obtained by solving this nonlinear programming. Numerical simulation analysis shows that the incentive-compatible term is a non-increasing concave function of default risk, slightly affected by the risk attitude.

     

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