引信的经验贝叶斯可靠性评估

Empirical Bayes Reliability Assessment for Fuzes

  • 摘要: 为了解决引信可靠性评估中子样容量小与可靠性高的尖锐矛盾,本文研究了经验贝叶斯方法。针对这个矛盾,提出了参数估计近似法,并讨论了其性态,计算实例表明该方法较有效,把该法与生物统计学中移植来的其它几种方法进行了比较和评价,结合计算机仿真的结果,对各种方法在引信可靠性评估中的有效性作了研究。

     

    Abstract: A new method of empirical Bayes reliability evaluation for the binomial distribution is presented and its performance is studied . The usefulness of this approach in practice is also examined . Eight kinds of other established methods of empirical Bayes estimation are surveyed and extended . Making use of computer -simulated results , these methods are evaluated and compared with each other in theory and practice and in regard to their risks . The paper then draws to a conclusion on the effectiveness of the various methods in fuze reliability assessment .

     

/

返回文章
返回
Baidu
map