自贸区制度创新网络联动的空间溢出效应以长三角地区为例

    Spatial Spillover Effect of Institutional Innovation Network Linkage in Pilot Free Trade ZonesTake the Yangtze River Delta as An Examples

    • 摘要: 以长三角的上海自贸区和浙江自贸区为例,采用2008—2019年包括其所在城市及周边47个地级市的面板数据,首先采用空间社会网络分析方法筛选处理组与控制组,然后分别构建政策综合视角下的异质性双重差分模型(Heterogeneous DID)和政策空间分割视角下的三重差分模型(DDD),深入考察评估“双自贸区之间的制度创新空间联动”对区域经济发展的溢出叠加效应。研究发现:不仅自贸区各自的制度创新对周边区域经济发展具有显著的异质性溢出效应,而且自贸区之间的“制度创新联动”更是对中间区域的经济发展具有时空两个维度上的序贯“溢出叠加效应”;而且,定量评估还表明,中间区域受到的这种“溢出叠加效应”要远大于单一自贸区对周边地区的单纯溢出效应。进一步的异质性分析更表明:自贸区对省会城市、内陆城市、地理临近城市和大型城市经济的溢出效应更加显著。

       

      Abstract: This article takes Shanghai FTZ and Zhejiang FTZ in the Yangtze River Delta as examples. It uses panel data from 2008 to 2019 of the cities they are located in and 47 prefecture-level cities around them, first adopts the spatial social network analysis method to filter the processing group and the control group, then separately constructs the Heterogeneous DID model from the perspective of comprehensive policy and the DDD model from the perspective of policy space segmentation, to conduct an in-depth investigation and evaluation of the spillover and superposition effect on regional economic development under “spatial linkage and interaction of institutional innovation between the two FTZs. The study finds that not only the respective institutional innovations of the FTZs have significant heterogeneous spillover effects on the economic development of surrounding regions, but the “linkage and interaction of institutional innovation” between the FTZs also have two-dimension spillover and superposition effect in time and space for the economic development of the intermediate region. Moreover, the quantitative evaluation also shows that the spillover and superposition effect received by the intermediate region is much greater than the pure spillover effect of a single FTZ on the surrounding areas. Further analysis of heterogeneity shows that the economic spillover effects of FTZs on provincial capitals, inland cities, geographically adjacent cities, and big cities are more significant.

       

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