地方政府竞争与征地冲动网络及空间视角

    Local Governments’ Competition and Land Expropriation ImpulseA Network and Spatial Approach

    • 摘要: 在城镇化快速推进的大趋势下,中国以土地为中心的发展模式带来大规模的征地,其背后的重要激励因素来源于地方政府之间的竞争行为。通过引入网络博弈模型刻画了地方政府在土地征收中的竞争机制以及策略互动性,并结合空间计量模型进行实证分析以验证地方政府之间的策略互动,实现了网络模型与空间计量的有机融合。基于空间面板模型的实证分析发现,地方政府的征地行为确实存在显著的策略竞争,而且这种竞争行为属于策略互补,周边地区征地规模的增加会使得本地的征地规模也扩大。进一步扩展网络博弈模型分析地方政府与中央政府的策略互动性,并进行实证检验发现,地方政府在土地征收中既存在横向策略竞争,也存在着对中央政府的纵向共同反应,即表现出横向竞争和纵向跟随并存的行为模式。

       

      Abstract: Under the trend of rapid urbanization in China, the land-centered development model has brought large-scale expansion of land requisition, and one of the important incentive factors behind it comes from the competition between local governments. In this paper, the network game model was used to characterize the competition mechanism and strategic interaction of local governments in land expropriation, and was combined with the spatial econometric model to verify the horizontal strategic interaction between local governments, which realized the effective integration of the network model and the spatial econometrics. Empirical analysis based on the spatial panel model shows that there is significant strategic competition in the land expropriation behavior of local governments, and this kind of competitive behavior is strategic complementarity. It means that the increase in the size of land expropriation of surrounding regions will induce the increase of land expropriation in the local region. The network game model was further extended to analyze the strategic interaction between local governments and central government, and the corresponding empirical research found that local governments have both horizontal competition strategy and vertical common reaction to the central government in the process of land expropriation, namely exhibiting the coexistence pattern of horizontal competition and vertical following.

       

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