Abstract: In order to realize the major strategic plan of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality made by the Party Central Committee and the State Council in response to global climate change, traditional industrial parks will become a key target for the research on precise decarbonization of the industrial sector in the coming period. This paper sorts out the carbon emissions, emission intensity and emission sources of the Nanjing Jiangbei New Area New Materials Science and Technology Park, the largest chemical park in Jiangsu, and uses the Tapio decoupling model to explore the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic development. Then, the LMDI method is used to decompose the driving factors of carbon emissions in the park, and then a multi-scenario simulation model is established to explore the potential of carbon emission reduction in the park and the path to achieve the dual carbon goals. Research shows that the current energy combustion in the park is overly dependent on fossil energy, and there is a negative decoupling between carbon emissions and economic development. The output value structure continues to promote the increase of carbon emissions in the park, and energy intensity is the leading factor in promoting the park's emission reduction. The simulation results show that in the future, through energy structure adjustment, technological innovation, industrial structure optimization and the coordinated application of CCUS technology, it will help the park to take the lead in realizing the dual carbon goal. Through quantitative analysis, this paper verifies that Nanjing Jiangbei New Materials Science and Technology Park can achieve the ‘Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality’ goal as soon as possible, and at the same time puts forward constructive policy opinions for the park, which can then provide practical reference for the green and low-carbon transformation and development of other traditional industrial parks in the future.