中国碳市场回顾与展望(2022)

    China’s Carbon Market: Reviews and Prospects (2022)

    • 摘要: 截至2021年,全球投入运行的碳市场共覆盖了全球温室气体排放总量的约16%。第26届联合国气候变化大会初步建立了全球性碳市场的基本制度框架。2021年7月16日,首批纳入发电行业的全国碳市场正式启动线上交易,截至12月31日,全国碳市场碳排放配额累计成交量达1.79亿吨,成交额达76.84亿元,运行较为稳健,价格基本平稳,临近履约期交易活跃度急速攀升。2020年中国试点碳市场受新冠疫情影响,活跃度有所降低,价格整体稳定。2021年试点碳市场的交易量整体有所增加,价格稳中有升,各试点之间的差异仍然较大,其中北京碳市场的成交均价最高、价格波动性最大,广东碳市场的总交易量最多、市场最为活跃。全国碳市场2022年后有望逐步纳入建材和钢铁行业并引入机构投资者,缩减碳配额总量,增加交易产品种类,强化和其他减污降碳政策措施的协同性,发挥规模优势并探索国际化道路,成为推动“双碳”目标实现的重要力量。

       

      Abstract: By the end of 2021, the global emission trading systems (ETS) had covered about 16% of global greenhouse gas emissions. After the COP 26, the basic institutional framework of the global carbon market has initially formed. On July 16, 2021, China’s national carbon market officially launched online trading and the power generation industry is the first industry to be included. By the end of December 31, 2021, China’s national carbon market has accomplished a total of 179 million tons in trading volume and 7.684 billion yuan in turnover. And carbon allowance price is basically stable but the trading activity approaching the performance period is rapidly rising. Affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, the pilot carbon markets in 2020 were less active but the carbon allowance prices were generally stable. In 2021, the trading volume and price of the pilot carbon markets generally increased. But the differences between different pilot martets are still large. Among them, Beijing pilot market has the highest carbon price, and Guangdong pilot market has the largest transaction volume and the most active market. The national carbon market is expected to cover the construction and steel industries and introduce institutional investors after 2022. In the future the national carbon market will gradually reduce the total amount of carbon quotas, increase the types of trading products, complete the full coverage of eight key energy-consuming industries, coordinate with other emission reduction measures, and explore the path of internationalization, in order to promote the realization of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

       

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