农产品贸易提升了农业绿色全要素生产率吗?基于农村金融发展视角的分析

    Does Agricultural Product Trade Increase Agricultural Green Total Factor Productivity?Analysis based on the Perspective of Rural Financial Development

    • 摘要: 基于2008—2017年中国省际面板数据,从农村金融发展的视角出发,实证检验了农产品贸易对农业绿色全要素生产率(Total Factor Productivity,TFP)的影响。研究发现:(1)农产品进口贸易和农产品出口贸易均有利于提升农业绿色全要素生产率,其中,农产品出口贸易的提升作用更大;(2)相比农业绿色技术效率渠道,农产品贸易通过促进农业绿色技术进步对农业绿色全要素生产率产生的提升作用更强;(3)农产品贸易可以通过推动农村金融发展对农业绿色全要素生产率提升产生积极作用,即存在农产品贸易→农村金融发展→农业绿色全要素生产率的传导机制;(4)农产品贸易对农业绿色全要素生产率的影响存在基于农村金融发展的双重门槛效应,在农村金融发展水平由低变高的动态过程中,农产品贸易对农业绿色生产率的促进作用逐步增强。因此,要促进农业绿色全要素生产率的有效提升,一方面离不开农产品贸易的持续健康发展,另一方面也需要充分结合各地区农村金融发展水平的实际状况,施行差异化的农产品贸易政策,以充分发挥农产品贸易的正向绿色全要素生产率溢出效应。

       

      Abstract: Based on the interprovincial panel data of China from 2008 to 2017, this paper empirically tests the impact of agricultural product trade on agricultural green total factor productivity from the perspective of rural financial development. It is found that: (1) The import trade of agricultural products and the export trade of agricultural products are beneficial to the promotion of agricultural green total factor productivity, among which, the export trade of agricultural products is more effective. (2) Compared with the channel of agricultural green technology efficiency, agricultural products trade has a stronger effect on agricultural green total factor productivity by promoting agricultural green technology progress. (3) Agricultural product trade can play a positive role in the promotion of agricultural green total factor productivity by promoting rural financial development, that is, the transmission mechanism of agricultural trade → rural financial development → agricultural green total factor productivity exists. (4) The impact of agricultural product trade on agricultural green total factor productivity has a double threshold effect based on rural financial development. In the dynamic process of rural financial development from low to high, the promotion of agricultural product trade to agricultural green total factor productivity has gradually increased. Therefore, in order to promote the effective promotion of agricultural green total factor productivity, on the one hand, we cannot do without the sustainable and healthy development of agricultural trade; on the other hand, we need to fully integrate the actual situation of rural financial development level in various regions, and implement differentiated agricultural trade policies, so as to give full play to the positive green productivity spillover effect of agricultural trade.

       

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