制度质量、人口结构与出口技术复杂度

    Institutional Quality,Population Structure and Export Technology Complexity

    • 摘要: 在美国逆经济全球化贸易政策和中国传统比较优势不断削弱的背景下,提升中国出口技术复杂度显得尤为紧迫。在阐述制度质量、人口结构对出口技术复杂度影响机理的基础上,利用省际面板数据模型,实证检验制度质量、人口结构对出口技术复杂度的影响。结果表明:制度质量改善通过减弱经济主体生产经营高技术复杂度产品的道德风险及不确定性,降低经济主体的交易成本,促进出口技术复杂度的提升。具体而言,制度环境中地区腐败通过提高经济主体遭遇“敲竹杠”行为的风险,对出口技术复杂度具有显著的负向影响,而良好的经济制度环境及法律制度环境显著地促进了出口技术复杂度的提升。人口质量结构通过增强吸收先进技术的能力,进而提高自主创新水平,对出口技术复杂度的提升具有显著的促进作用,而人口数量结构对出口技术复杂度的影响不显著。

       

      Abstract: Against the background of the US anti-economic globalization trade policy and the weakening of China's traditional comparative advantage,it is particularly urgent to enhance the complexity of China's export technology. On the basis of explaining the influence mechanism of system quality and population structure on export technology complexity in theory,this paper empirically tests the influence of system quality and population structure on export technology complexity by using the inter-provincial panel data model. The results show that the improvement of system quality can reduce the moral hazard and uncertainty of high-tech complex products produced and managed by economic entities,reduce the transaction costs of economic entities and promote the improvement of export technology complexity. Specifically,regional corruption in the institutional environment has a significant negative impact on the complexity of export technology by increasing the risk of economic entities encountering "rip-offs",while a good economic and legal environment has significantly promoted the complexity of export technology. Population quality structure promotes the complexity of export technology significantly by enhancing the ability to absorb advanced technology,and then improve the level of independent innovation. Population quantity structure has no significant impact on the complexity of export technology.

       

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