非信用风险因素对公司债信用利差的影响
Non-Credit-Risk Impact on Corporate Bonds Yield Spreads
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摘要: 选取2009年1月-2014年8月中国公司债日交易数据,检验非信用风险因素对信用利差变化的影响.实证发现:在中国市场,信用风险因素对信用价差的解释力不超过56%,公司债信用价差包含对不可分散的非系统性信用风险的溢价,评级较低的债券溢价较高.在加入利率风险和流动性风险等非信用风险因素后,解释能力能达到70%以上,高信用评级的公司债价格中包含的非信用风险补偿比重更高.Abstract: Using daily data of Chinese corporate bonds from June 2009 to August 2014,we examined the effect of non-default risk factors on yield spread. The findings suggested that the default risk could explain no more than 56% of the variation in yield spread changes in Chinese corporate bonds,and the spread included premium of non-systematic un-diversifiable credit risk. Higher premium lied in low-grade bonds. Controlling for credit risks,we found that liquidity risk and interest rate risk were priced in bond yield spread,and high-grade bonds gained more non-credit-risk compensation. The model could explain more than 70 percent of the variation in yield spread changes.
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