刚性需求下个人房产税总额测度模型研究——以上海市为例

    Personal Housing Property Tax Measurement Model under Rigid Demand—Taking Shanghai as an Example

    • 摘要: 以上海市为例, 考虑购房刚性需求, 选取影响税额的因素, 得出刚性需求下个人房产税总额的测度模型。运用多元线性回归方法, 由税额影响因素组成的自变量组合共同预测因变量, 经过模型的初步分析和修正, 得到税额与影响因素之间的最优线性关系。通过测度模型发现:住宅投资、人均可支配收入、总户数和土地出让面积对个人房产税的影响效果显著;前3项因素对税额的影响效果为正, 而土地出让面积为负。上海市人均60平方米免税面积、0.6%为适用税率的个人房产税方案, 使得测度模型满足购房刚性需求;基于模型中影响因素与税额之间的作用机理, 改变供需, 即可达到调控房地产市场的目的。

       

      Abstract: Taking Shanghai as an example, considering the rigid housing demand, and choosing influencing factors of tax, this paper puts forward the personal housing property tax measurement model under rigid housing demand. Predicting dependent variables with the combination of influencing factors, using multiple linear regression method, through preliminary analysis and amendment, it calculates the optimal linear relationship between tax and influencing factors. From the measurement model, it is found that the effect of residential investment, per capita disposable income, number of residents and the area of land on personal housing property tax are significant. Besides, the first three factors' effects are positive, while the last one is negative. The personal housing property tax scheme of Shanghai, whose duty-free area per capita is 60m2 and applicable tax rate is 0.6%, makes the measurement model satisfy rigid housing demand. Based on the mechanism between influencing factors and tax in the measurement model, it makes the regulation of the real estate market possible through changing supply and demand.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回
    Baidu
    map